As%20Joe%20Biden%20leads%20and%20is%20likely%20to%20assume%26nbsp%3Bthe%20responsibility%20of%20the%20high%20office%20in%20the%20USA%2C%20he%20steps%20in%20into%20a%20world%20transformed%20by%20two%20interrelated%20C%u2019s%20-%20Coronavirus%20and%20China%2C%20which%20have%20impacted%20global%20strategic%20stability%20and%20geo-economics.%20He%20would%20hope%20to%20restore%20the%20USA%u2019s%20primacy%20and%20reversing%20damage%20to%20the%20liberal%20international%20order%20and%20economic%20recession.%20There%20are%20several%20other%20issues%20like%20climate%20change%2C%20racism%2C%20terrorism%2C%20health%20care%2C%20immigration%20and%20gun%20rights%20which%20pose%20challenges.%20A%20foreign%20policy%20review%20may%20also%20be%20around%20the%20corner.%20The%20likely%20President%20thus%20has%20a%20narrow%20window%20of%20opportunity%20with%20a%20plethora%20of%20challenges%20in%20which%20to%20reconfigure%20both%20the%20domestic%20as%20well%20as%20foreign%20policy%20and%20restore%20global%20equilibrium.

Yet%20the%20immediate%20priority%20possibly%20will%20probably%20be%20on%20a%20plan%20to%20deal%20with%20coronavirus%20which%20has%20disrupted%20all%20walks%20of%20life%20and%20upended%20the%20economy.%20A%20global%20health%20pandemic%20should%20have%20ushered%20multilateral%20search%20for%20a%20collective%20solution%20but%20unfortunately%20reflected%20the%20fragility%20of%20globalisation%2C%20paving%20the%20way%20to%20isolation%20and%20nationalism.%20Trump%20has%20downplayed%20the%20virus%20despite%20the%20USA%20entering%20into%20its%20third%20peak.%20The%20Wuhan-originated%20Coronavirus%20handling%20and%20the%20health%20care%20response%20has%20left%20a%20daunting%20dent%20in%20the%20image%20of%20the%20most%20powerful%20nation%20by%20way%20of%20its%20inept%20handling%20of%20the%20crisis.%20It%20has%20infected%20over%20nine%20million%20and%20claimed%20more%20than%20230%2C000%20lives%20in%20the%20US%20with%20a%20projection%20of%20350%2C000%20by%20Jan%202021.%20Biden%20in%20his%20campaign%20has%20proposed%20a%20science-led%20plan%20improving%20testing%20capacity%20and%20accessibility%2C%20structural%20changes%2C%20establishing%20national%20standards%20for%20reopening%20schools%20and%20businesses%2C%20and%20reinstating%20funding%20to%20WHO.%20Biden%20has%20also%20promised%20free%20vaccine%20to%20the%20public%2C%20should%20one%20be%20approved.%20Yet%20he%20would%20do%20well%20to%20galvanise%20the%20global%20vaccine%20effort%20and%20a%20global%20public%20health%20prevention%20infrastructure.%26nbsp%3B

Next%20will%20be%20to%20fix%20the%20economy%20which%20most%20voters%20perceived%20as%20the%20biggest%20concern.%20It%20is%20forecasted%20that%20the%20USA%20real%20GDP%20growth%20for%202020%20will%20be%20minus%204.6%25%20as%20against%20the%20global%20average%20of%20minus%204.4%25.%20Besides%20the%20economic%20rise%20of%20China%20pegged%20at%20plus%201.9%25%2C%20is%20creating%20ripples%20in%20the%20geostrategic%20canvas.%20On%20the%20economic%20front%2C%20Biden%20should%20ensure%20US%20foreign%20policy%20takes%20geo-economics%20more%20seriously%20to%20infuse%20reforms%20and%20addresses%20the%20slag%20in%20the%20global%20economy.%20Internally%20low%20unemployment%20rate%2C%20inflation%2C%20stock%20market%20crash%20and%20poor%20income%20growth%20will%20be%20the%20challenges.%20Biden%20would%20aim%20to%20raise%20wages%2C%20rebuild%20manufacturing%2C%20reorient%20trade%2C%20and%20focus%20on%20infrastructure%20development.%20The%20USA%20has%20an%20opportunity%20for%20bringing%20greater%20global%20economic%20cooperation%20that%20can%20present%20Beijing%20with%20a%20united%20front.%20This%20would%20require%20building%20a%20global%20coalition%20for%20collective%20reforms%20creating%20alternate%20markets%20and%20manufacturing%20hubs%2C%20reorienting%20global%20supply%20chains%2C%20reindustrialising%20democratic%20economies%20and%20being%20the%20driver%20for%20providing%20high-end%20technology.

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As%20regards%20China%2C%20Biden%20if%20elected%26nbsp%3Binherits%20a%20belligerent%20China%20that%20poses%20the%20greatest%20threat%20to%20the%20USA%u2019s%20security%2C%20economy%20and%20global%20standing.%20Both%20Trump%20or%20Biden%20have%20promised%20a%20hard%20line%20against%20China.%20Biden%20has%20indicated%20more%20attention%20to%20human%20rights%20issues%20in%20China%20and%20the%20situation%20in%20Hong%20Kong.%20He%20also%20has%20supported%20keeping%20pressure%20on%20China%20through%20trade%20restrictions.%20Trump%20had%20notably%20taken%20on%20China%20aggressively%20on%20a%20multi-front%20multi-domain%20front.%20While%20Trump%u2019s%20bold%20actions%20and%20trade%20sanctions%20have%20had%20an%20effect%2C%20its%20relative%20power%20will%20ebb%20if%20a%20slag%20sets%20in.%20Biden%20thus%20cannot%20risk%20diluting%20the%20tariffs%20or%20ease%20the%20trade%20war%20on%20China.%20Biden%20will%20have%20to%20economically%20constrain%2C%20militarily%20contain%20and%20politically%20engage%20China%20more%20constructively%20while%20avoiding%20any%20confrontation.%20Biden%u2019s%20China%20policy%20if%20elected%20as%20the%20President%26nbsp%3Bmust%20continue%20to%20build%20the%20pressures%20but%20more%20importantly%20improve%20global%20coordination%20against%20Beijing.%20China%u2019s%20growing%20expansionism%20versus%20USA%u2019s%20growing%20protectionism%20has%20left%20the%20USA%20weaker%20in%20the%20face%20of%20great%20power%20rivalry.%20The%20US%20has%20to%20go%20beyond%20Cold%20war%20alliances%20and%20old%20exclusive%20mindsets%20to%20work%20more%20pluralistically%20in%20the%20evolving%20multipolar%20open%20world%20order%20of%2021st%20Century.%20The%20era%20of%20American%20interventionism%20and%20power%20projection%20by%20far%20is%20also%20likely%20to%20be%20a%20historic%20legacy%20under%20Biden.

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Biden%20if%20elected%2C%20unlike%20Trump%2C%20comes%20with%20foreign%20policy%20experience%20yet%20faces%20greater%20challenges%20of%20the%2021st%20Century.%20Biden%20has%20made%20clear%20that%20his%20administration%20would%20reverse%20Trump%u2019s%20%u201CAmerica%20First%u201D%20rhetoric%20foreign%20policy%20decisions%20by%20immediately%20re-entering%20the%20Paris%20climate%20accord%20and%20halting%20the%20country%u2019s%20exit%20from%20the%20World%20Health%20Organisation.%20The%20TPP%20now%20called%20the%20Comprehensive%20and%20Progressive%20Trans-Pacific%20Partnership%20may%20also%20be%20revived.%26nbsp%3BHe%20would%20do%20well%20to%20also%20reform%20and%20revitalise%20archival%20global%20governance%20structures%20like%20WTO%20and%20UN%20in%20tune%20with%20the%20realities%20of%20present%20times.%20Trump%u2019s%20recent%20successes%20in%20the%20Middle%20East%20like%20Abraham%20Accord%20and%20its%20follow-ups%20have%20resulted%20in%20greater%20global%20stability.%20Biden%20has%20indicated%20a%20pivot%20away%20from%20the%20Middle%20East%20policy%20which%20may%20give%20China%20the%20welcome%20space.%20Biden%2C%20however%2C%20supports%20the%20broader%20two-state%20solution%20between%20Israel%20and%20Palestinians.

On%20Africa%2C%20Biden%20proposes%20ending%20travel%20bans%20and%20push%20for%20a%20greater%20economic%20interface.%20On%20North%20Korea%20Biden%20has%20indicated%20that%20he%20would%20not%20meet%20with%20Kim%20without%20preconditions%20and%20may%20use%20sanctions%20to%20push%20Kim%20to%20negotiate.%20Resurrecting%202015%20Iran%20nuclear%20deal%20that%20had%20been%20the%20signature%20Middle%20East%20initiative%20of%20the%20Barack%20Obama%20administration%20and%20sanction%20review%20may%20be%20an%20area%20of%20review%20which%20would%20be%20welcomed%20by%20India.%20Afghanistan%20will%20be%20another%20focus%20area%20with%20the%20planned%20withdrawal%20of%20US%20troops%20by%20the%20middle%20of%202021%2C%20yet%20Biden%20may%20review%20its%20time%20table%20based%20on%20ground%20realities%20and%20aftermath.%20Finally%2C%20Russia%20policy%20and%20differences%20are%20likely%20to%20stay%20and%20may%20even%20widen.%20With%20the%20expiration%20of%20the%20New%20START%20treaty%2C%20and%20Moscow%20indicating%20a%20willingness%20to%20extend%20it%20for%20five%20years%2C%20the%20ball%20will%20be%20in%20the%20new%20President%u2019s%26nbsp%3Bcourt.

As%20regards%20the%20impact%20on%20India.%20India%20will%20have%20to%20fine-tune%20its%20US%20foreign%20policy%20plan%20to%20deal%20with%20Biden%20with%20greater%20pragmatism%20and%20patience.%26nbsp%3BSome%20of%20Biden%20and%20Kamala%20Harris%20remarks%20on%20India%20have%20been%20disconcerting%20in%20the%20past.%20Biden-Harris%20may%20not%20give%20Modi%20the%20comfort%20that%20Trump%20did%20in%20blocking%20Chinese%20efforts%20to%20discuss%20India%u2019s%20revocation%20of%20Article%20370%20in%20Kashmir%20at%20the%20UN.%20Biden%20has%20also%20expressed%20disapproval%20of%20the%20CAA%20and%20the%20National%20Register%20of%20Citizens%20%28NRC%29%2C%20and%20Kamala%20Harris%u2019%20words%20on%20the%20abrogation%20of%20Article%20370%20and%20Kashmir%20were%20alarmist.%20Yet%20as%20a%20Vice-President%20to%20Obama%2C%20Biden%20energised%20the%20US-India%20partnership%20and%20was%20instrumental%20in%20the%20success%20of%20India%u2019s%20journey%20to%20the%20nuclear%20fold%20from%20India%u2019s%20nuclear%20tests%20to%20the%20Indo-US%20civil%20nuclear%20deal.

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Today%20the%20Chinese%20driven%20geopolitical%20canvas%20is%20such%20that%20USA%20irrespective%20of%20Presidency%20needs%20India%20more%20than%20India%20needs%20the%20USA.%20Thus%2C%20Biden%20will%20remain%20committed%20to%20the%20India-US%20strategic%20partnership%20but%20with%20lesser%20rhetorics%20and%20steadier%20pace.%20However%2C%20it%20would%20be%20wise%20for%20India%20not%20to%20overplay%20dependency%20on%20the%20USA%20for%20achieving%20its%20strategic%20goals%20and%20balance%20its%20foreign%20policy%20on%20multilateralism.%20Biden%20as%20likely%20President%20would%20better%20understand%20the%20interplay%20of%20international%20relations%20and%20could%20be%20more%20focused%20on%20the%20long-term%20strategic%20canvas%20and%20India%u2019s%20key%20role%20in%20strategic%20stability%20in%20the%20region.%26nbsp%3BBesides%20Trumps%2C%20isolationist%20economic%20policies%20may%20see%20a%20review%20to%20implement%20economically%20beneficial%20projects%20as%20an%20alternative%20to%20China%u2019s%20%u201Cdebt%20trap%u201D%20diplomacy.%20Thus%2C%20trade%2C%20technology%20and%20economic%20cooperation%20with%20India%20are%20likely%20to%20see%20greater%20infusion%20in%20future%20with%20a%20reduced%26nbsp%3Bfixation%20on%20deficits.%20The%20Indo-Pacific%20will%20be%20the%20ultimate%20bonding%20glue%20of%20the%20India-US%20partnership.%20Thus%2C%20a%20more%20formalised%20India%20centric%20regional%20architecture%20and%20formal%20policy%20may%20find%20the%20focus%20to%20deter%20Chinese%20belligerence.

At%20the%20geopolitical%20level%2C%20both%20a%20review%20of%20Iran%20and%20Afghanistan%20policy%20by%20Biden%20will%20be%20a%20positive%20for%20India.%20Biden%u2019s%20likely%20re-joining%20the%20World%20Health%20Organisation%2C%20the%20Paris%20Agreement%2C%20and%20the%20UN%20Human%20Rights%20Council%20will%20certainly%20find%20favour%20in%20India.%20While%20Trump%20did%20well%20for%20India%2C%20Biden%u2019s%26nbsp%3Blikely%20presidency%20could%20bring%20about%20greater%20predictability%2C%20maturity%20and%20reliability%20in%20Indo-US%20relationships.%20In%20the%20run-up%20to%20the%20elections%2C%20much%20to%20the%20music%20of%20Indian%u2019s%2C%20Biden%20pledged%20%22no%20tolerance%22%20for%20cross%20border%20terrorism%20in%20South%20Asia%2C%20vowed%20to%20revoke%20the%20suspension%20of%20H1B%20visas%2C%20and%20promised%20to%20work%20with%20India%20towards%20a%20rules-based%20Indo-Pacific%20where%20%22no%20country%2C%20including%20China%2C%20is%20able%20to%20threaten%20its%20neighbours%20with%20impunity.%22%20The%20test%20of%20Biden%20-%20Modi%20relationship%26nbsp%3Bshould%20Biden%20be%20elected%2C%20will%20be%20its%20commitment%20on%20strategic%20perspective%2C%20beyond%20personalities%2C%20based%20on%20global%20common%20and%20shared%20interests%20and%20vision.

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